Saturday night, a horse and a jockey with 80-1 odds stunned the horse racing world by coming from behind to win the prestigious Kentucky Derby. The only other horse to win with longer odds was Donerail in 1913, at 91-1-- more than a century earlier. If this isn't an object lesson in how we never know when our chance will strike, then nothing is.
Temporarily despairing could be the clue for the Brown to prevail in Pittsburgh
Here’s an example of how leaning into all of your feelings - even the so-called "negative feelings" - works. This morning I went to my usual, fairly challenging, workout class at Equinox. Between my own suspected concussion (surf board to head) + my dog’s trip to the emergency room, I’d…
A trader I coach predicted this as the best positioning for Brexit : Short the pound, short the S&Ps, long gold and short oil. This is John B. - a guy with 20+ years of very successful experience and a recent history of working on separating instinct from impulse through…
This morning I was talking to a coaching client and we jointly realized that to characterize one of the most powerful trading emotions as FOMO actually misses the most important point. FOMO - or fear of missing out - connotates the fear of missing an event which really isn't the…
In the Annual Review of Psychology 2015, Lerner of Harvard points out that from 1970 to 1995 there were virtually NO scientific papers on the subject of emotions and judgment and decision making (JDM). From 1995-2000 there were less than 50 a year and then it began to climb. The…
In technical terms, the researchers call this projected emotion, "anticipatory affect". In simple terms, the results of this meta-analysis of the brain's reaction to probabilities in risk goes like this: 1. A trader or PM takes in information about the expected mean, variance or skewness of a trade. 2. The…
Did you know that no one knows for sure how many "basic" (irreducible) emotions there are? Many scientists have long believed in six, a new study indicates four and a growing body of work by the teams emerging from Lisa Feldman Barrett's labs makes a very credible case for only…
Originally posted on Business Insider, April 17. Conventional wisdom in trading psychology used to depend on two primary tenets – discipline and ‘control your emotions’. But that was before neuroscience started putting traders, poker players and other risk-gamers into brain scanners. Now that we know that all decisions depend on…
Here are some of the things I've been thinking about: The two areas in trading that separate the men from the boys (so to speak) are: 1.) The ability to divide environmental perceptions in half and process them separately. First I ask myself what I am feeling and in doing…