Back in the ‘90s in Chicago when I just beginning to trade my mentor would say: “I’ve seen this movie before.” Mistaking the market for a math problem, I really didn’t get what he meant – until indeed I too felt a click of recognition as I watched price action unfold. Experience delivers an ability […]
Back in 2007, Cal-Tech ran what is turning out to be a revolutionary study on how the brain predicts price moves. The authors found that predicting other people is the key skill behind correctly predicting price moves. In some circles, this skill is called mentalizing but until recently, skill development programs for this ability were […]
In a culture where it seems like hard work will be an edge, many traders mistake the type of work that will indeed create the best results. Trading is not only an intellectual exercise but a physical and emotional one as well. It follows then that an edge or at a minimum, the approximation of […]
In the course of my 20+ years in the trading world, the question of when or how to use ‘sim’ has come up dozens of times. When I traded full-time, I used to wonder. When I added coaching, I got the question all of the time.
This week a client told me of an educator who […]
Traditionally trading psychology advice regarding giving money back has focused on being disciplined and staying focused. Yet traders of all stripes complain to me that while they intend to be disciplined and to stay focused, they find themselves in trades they didn’t intend.
It’s almost like (they say) someone else was in their body making these […]
If you are not at a hedge fund or proprietary trading firm (and in some cases even if you are), you might not really know your own trading. It’s quite easy to look at an equity curve and think that it all you really need to know.
In reality however there is a lot more data […]
Research is showing how powerful our mental context is in making risk decisions. But the thing is, most traders think mental context is about what they know – their insights, their indicators and their experience. In reality, it goes much further and deeper than that.
Recent experience that seems totally unrelated to trading counts. For example, […]
Price action in the markets is “the tell” – as they used to say. (It seems that is one of those words that has come and gone). But the problem is this said ‘tell’, tells you different things – it can be interpreted many ways. It is what is known as ambiguous.
Humans have a known […]
Maybe the toughest challenge in trading – or market risk decisions – is resolving the conflict over now or later? Should I get in now or later? Should I get out now or later? One can throw a whole bunch of so-called facts at the question and still be no closer to a satisfying (or […]
Originally posted on Business Insider, April 17.
Conventional wisdom in trading psychology used to depend on two primary tenets – discipline and ‘control your emotions’. But that was before neuroscience started putting traders, poker players and other risk-gamers into brain scanners. Now that we know that all decisions depend on the presence of an emotion, most […]