UPDATE June 20, 2016: I am SO glad the Cavs won! Thrilled. Elated. Vindicated. Ecstatic. Relieved. Joyous. Shocked... not necessarily in that order. Maybe someday I will get to interview LeBron about the cycle of emotions he experienced and used to create this incredible historic victory! UPDATE June 17, 2016:…
We've all asked this question. Should I stay at the party a bit longer? Should I wait and see if the Cleveland Browns might possibly (by some miracle) pull this game out? (NO!) But I bet it never occurred to you that this is really the central question of trading.…
Back in the ‘90s in Chicago when I just beginning to trade my mentor would say: “I’ve seen this movie before.” Mistaking the market for a math problem, I really didn’t get what he meant – until indeed I too felt a click of recognition as I watched price action…
It unfortunately remains the predominant and conventional wisdom that the best trading occurs from so-called purely rational (read: statistical) and non-emotional analysis. Alas, it's just not true. In fact, it isn't even possible for a human being to make a risk-decision devoid of feelings and the most-forward thinking research says…
Two separate studies interviewing close to 200 successful portfolio managers and traders confirm what Jason Voss and Ravhee Mehta have reported in their books The Intuitive Investor and The Emotionally Intelligent Investor. Being able to read the feelings of other market participants, a form of empathy, and being able to…
In technical terms, the researchers call this projected emotion, "anticipatory affect". In simple terms, the results of this meta-analysis of the brain's reaction to probabilities in risk goes like this: 1. A trader or PM takes in information about the expected mean, variance or skewness of a trade. 2. The…
Fast Company recently wrote that EI or emotional intelligence is beginning to be considered along SAT scores in college admittance - at Yale no less! Likewise, the New York Times reported on how emotional awareness tactics are helping discouraged job seekers find work. What's up with this? Why is emotion…
Coates, Shull, other experts weigh in on risk professionals’ attention to their discipline Thursday, May 02, 2013, Risk Professional Magazine (published by the Global Association of Risk Professionals - GARP) By Katherine Heires Over the past 20 years, advances in brain imaging technology and other methods of analyzing neural activity…
Last Sunday, the most successful trader I knew from the Chicago Options pits texted me this - "Self-examination is the key to noodle making and other accomplishments." Now you should know two things - 1) this guy NEVER texts - we have been friends for going on 20 years and…
In case you missed it, here's my segment on CNBC Squawk Box this morning. Had a ton of fun with Joe and Andrew. More later. FRIDAY the 10th ... and yes, this Joe, this approach DOES work with putting too! In fact, it may work even better with putting because…
