In the spring of 2019, we got a call to do a workshop at a fund that Jared Dillian (Daily Dirtnap) had referred us to. They were having an offsite meeting for their global team and wanted us to do a comprehensive workshop on the latest psychology of investing and…
UPDATE June 20, 2016: I am SO glad the Cavs won! Thrilled. Elated. Vindicated. Ecstatic. Relieved. Joyous. Shocked... not necessarily in that order. Maybe someday I will get to interview LeBron about the cycle of emotions he experienced and used to create this incredible historic victory! UPDATE June 17, 2016:…
In the course of my 20+ years in the trading world, the question of when or how to use 'sim' has come up dozens of times. When I traded full-time, I used to wonder. When I added coaching, I got the question all of the time. This week a client…
It unfortunately remains the predominant and conventional wisdom that the best trading occurs from so-called purely rational (read: statistical) and non-emotional analysis. Alas, it's just not true. In fact, it isn't even possible for a human being to make a risk-decision devoid of feelings and the most-forward thinking research says…
It never ceases to amaze me how "Regret Theory", while SO instructive, has been missed by psychologists & economists. http://t.co/lNfxouQ2
In case you missed it, here's my segment on CNBC Squawk Box this morning. Had a ton of fun with Joe and Andrew. More later. FRIDAY the 10th ... and yes, this Joe, this approach DOES work with putting too! In fact, it may work even better with putting because…
Somewhere down the road, you just might find you agree with more than you expected. Or worse, learned a thing or two about making better decisions in the face of UOUP (rhymes with soup) - uncertain outcomes uncertain probabilities.
All this suggests that emotions are key information providers when deciding under uncertainty. They make us tuned to our environment. Actually, in some contexts of fast and intuitive decision-making in the face of unstable (high vol) conditions, one expects that the stronger the emotional uncertainty signals of the day-trader, the higher the performance.
I mean we also hear "believe in yourself" but where do these advisories leave you when a trading idea is going wrong? How do you handle the teeter totter that holds belief and conviction on one side and price and risk management on the other? What fulcrum can you depend on?
A year ago tonight I was merrily watching my Cleveland Browns actually win while on a Jet Blue flight to the CME's Inaugural Global Financial Leadership conference when my first cell beep on landing was Bill Long calling to say LEH was BK and ML was BAC. 365 days after…
